 |
Economic Data Brief |
|
| | |
Growth & spending
Gross Domestic Product — Q2 2026 (second estimate)
|
| The second estimate left Q2 2026 real GDP growth at 1.5% (annualized), unchanged from the advance. Nominal growth was revised up to 8.0%, consumer spending marked slightly higher, and the price measures hotter — the GDP deflator is now up 4.4% from a year ago, the fastest since Q1 2023. Figures below reflect the revised data. | |
|
Real GDP growth
1.5%
▼ −0.6 pp m/m · −2.3 pp y/y
| |
|
Real GDP
$24.3B
▲ +0.4% m/m · +2.1% y/y
| |
|
Real PCE
$16.8B
▲ +0.9% m/m · +2.3% y/y
| |
|
Deflator
133.9
▲ +1.6% m/m · +4.4% y/y
| |
| Revision check| Revision check clear. Prior periods were checked against the values in the last report — no revisions found. All changes below are computed on current-vintage data. |
Key figures| Headline → | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | M/M chg | M/M % | Y/Y chg | Y/Y % | 12-period trend |
|---|
| Real GDP growth (q/q, SAAR) | 1.5% | 2.1% | ▼ −0.6 pp | — | ▼ −2.3 pp | — | | | Real GDP level (2017 $) | $24.3B | $24.2B | ▲ +$0.1B | ▲ +0.4% | ▲ +$0.5B | ▲ +2.1% | | | GDP implicit price deflator | 133.9 | 131.8 | ▲ +2.1 | ▲ +1.6% | ▲ +5.6 | ▲ +4.4% | | | PCE chain price index | 131.3 | 129.7 | ▲ +1.7 | ▲ +1.3% | ▲ +4.9 | ▲ +3.9% | | | Trend bars show year-over-year % change for index series, the level for rates and survey indexes over the last 13 periods; the latest period is highlighted. |
| Components (real, SAAR levels) → | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | M/M chg | M/M % | Y/Y chg | Y/Y % | 12-period trend |
|---|
| Real consumer spending | $16.8B | $16.7B | ▲ +$0.1B | ▲ +0.9% | ▲ +$0.4B | ▲ +2.3% | | | Real gross private domestic investment | $4.5B | $4.5B | ▲ $0.0B | ▲ +0.7% | ▲ +$0.1B | ▲ +3.2% | | | Real government consumption and investment | $4.0B | $4.0B | ▼ $0.0B | ▼ −0.2% | ▼ $0.0B | ▼ −0.1% | | | Real net exports | $-1.1B | $-1.0B | ▼ −$0.1B | ▼ −8.2% | ▼ $0.0B | ▼ −2.4% | | | Trend bars show year-over-year % change for index series, the level for rates and survey indexes over the last 13 periods; the latest period is highlighted. |
What stood out- GDP implicit price deflator: up 4.4% from a year ago — the fastest pace since Q1 2023.
- PCE chain price index: up 3.9% from a year ago — the fastest pace since Q2 2023.
- Real gross private domestic investment: up 3.2% from a year ago — the fastest pace since Q1 2025.
- Real net exports: down 2.4% from a year ago — the steepest year-over-year decline since Q2 2025.
- Exports of goods and services: up 14.8% from a year ago — the fastest pace since Q3 2022.
- Imports of goods and services: up 11.1% from a year ago — the fastest pace since Q1 2025.
Full detailShow every category and subcategory| Full detail — nominal aggregates → | Q2 2026 | Q1 2026 | M/M chg | M/M % | Y/Y chg | Y/Y % |
|---|
| Nominal GDP growth (q/q, SAAR) | 8.0% | 5.8% | ▲ +2.2 pp | — | ▲ +2.0 pp | — | | Exports of goods and services | $3.8B | $3.5B | ▲ +$0.2B | ▲ +6.9% | ▲ +$0.5B | ▲ +14.8% | | Imports of goods and services | $4.6B | $4.3B | ▲ +$0.3B | ▲ +6.9% | ▲ +$0.5B | ▲ +11.1% |
Sources |
Economic Impact Group, LLC Economic research for developing communities
Prepared 2026-08-31 12:41 UTC. Green marks an
increase, red a decrease — direction only, not good or bad.
|
|
|