Economic Impact Group, LLC Economic Data Brief
 
Inflation

Consumer Price Index — June 2026

Released August 3, 2026 · Bureau of Labor Statistics · full release · charts & history on EconomicsGuru
Consumer prices fell 0.4% in June — the largest one-month drop since April 2020 — but the entire decline came from energy, which fell 5.7% on the month while still running 15.9% above a year ago. Core CPI was flat on the month and up 2.8% from a year ago; the headline index is still up 3.7% over twelve months. No prior month was revised.
All items
332.6
▼ −0.4% m/m
· +3.7% y/y
Core CPI
336.1
▼ 0.0% m/m
· +2.8% y/y
Shelter
428.5
▲ +0.1% m/m
· +3.5% y/y
Energy
319.3
▼ −5.7% m/m
· +15.9% y/y

Revision check

Revision check clear. Prior periods were checked against the values in the last report — no revisions found. All changes below are computed on current-vintage data.

Key figures

Headline →June 2026May 2026M/M chgM/M %Y/Y chgY/Y %12-period trend
CPI-U, all items
SA index, 1982-84=100
332.6334.0▼ −1.4▼ −0.4%▲ +11.9▲ +3.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Core CPI (ex food & energy)336.1336.1▼ −0.1▼ 0.0%▲ +9.2▲ +2.8%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CPI-U, all items (NSA)
not seasonally adjusted — the series used for COLAs
334.0335.1▼ −1.2▼ −0.3%▲ +12.5▲ +3.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trend bars show year-over-year % change over the last 13 periods; the latest period is highlighted.
Major categories →June 2026May 2026M/M chgM/M %Y/Y chgY/Y %12-period trend
Food349.6348.9▲ +0.7▲ +0.2%▲ +11.1▲ +3.3%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Energy319.3338.6▼ −19.3▼ −5.7%▲ +43.9▲ +15.9%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Core goods (commodities ex food & energy)167.4167.6▼ −0.1▼ −0.1%▲ +1.6▲ +1.0%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Core services (services ex energy services)444.6444.5▲ +0.1▲ 0.0%▲ +14.7▲ +3.4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Shelter428.5428.0▲ +0.5▲ +0.1%▲ +14.4▲ +3.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Medical care services651.5652.3▼ −0.8▼ −0.1%▲ +21.6▲ +3.4%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Transportation services457.2458.8▼ −1.6▼ −0.3%▲ +15.6▲ +3.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Apparel136.3137.1▼ −0.8▼ −0.6%▲ +5.5▲ +4.2%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trend bars show year-over-year % change for index series, the level for rates and survey indexes over the last 13 periods; the latest period is highlighted.

What stood out

  • The 1.0% monthly drop in Electricity is the biggest since April 2014.
  • The 0.4% monthly drop in CPI-U, all items is the biggest since April 2020.
  • The 5.7% monthly drop in Energy is the biggest since April 2020.
  • Motor vehicle insurance: down 3.5% from a year ago — the steepest year-over-year decline since January 2021.
  • Medical care commodities: down 2.0% from a year ago — the steepest year-over-year decline since August 2021.
  • Airline fares: up 27.0% from a year ago — the fastest pace since December 2022.

Why it matters

A negative headline print is not disinflation when it rests on one volatile component. Strip energy out and the monthly change rounds to zero, which is a fine number but not a new trend — core has now spent the better part of a year in the mid-to-high twos and has stopped improving.

Shelter, which carries roughly a third of the index, rose 0.1% on the month and 3.5% over the year. Until that decelerates further, the arithmetic of getting headline CPI back to 2% depends on energy staying cheap — and energy is up 15.9% from where it was a year ago.

Full detail

Show every category and subcategory
Full detail — subcategories →June 2026May 2026M/M chgM/M %Y/Y chgY/Y %
Food at home321.4320.8▲ +0.6▲ +0.2%▲ +9.2▲ +2.9%
Food away from home395.6394.7▲ +0.9▲ +0.2%▲ +14.4▲ +3.8%
Gasoline (all types)342.0378.7▼ −36.7▼ −9.7%▲ +72.1▲ +26.7%
Electricity305.7308.9▼ −3.2▼ −1.0%▲ +14.1▲ +4.8%
Utility (piped) gas service269.7268.5▲ +1.3▲ +0.5%▲ +9.1▲ +3.5%
Rent of primary residence447.4446.7▲ +0.7▲ +0.1%▲ +13.4▲ +3.1%
Owners' equivalent rent441.7440.7▲ +1.1▲ +0.2%▲ +15.2▲ +3.6%
New vehicles178.7178.7▼ 0.0▼ 0.0%▲ +0.9▲ +0.5%
Used cars and trucks179.6180.0▼ −0.4▼ −0.2%▼ −3.2▼ −1.8%
Motor vehicle insurance858.7876.3▼ −17.6▼ −2.0%▼ −30.9▼ −3.5%
Airline fares308.0307.3▲ +0.7▲ +0.2%▲ +65.4▲ +27.0%
Medical care commodities409.0409.6▼ −0.7▼ −0.2%▼ −8.2▼ −2.0%
Recreation144.9144.1▲ +0.7▲ +0.5%▲ +4.4▲ +3.2%
Education and communication146.8148.0▼ −1.2▼ −0.8%▲ +0.1▲ 0.0%

Sources

Economic Impact Group, LLC
Economic research for developing communities
Prepared 2026-08-03 14:31 UTC. Green marks an increase, red a decrease — direction only, not good or bad.